Preview Liverpool vs Manchester United: Derby Rich in History, Stats Favor Anfield

The heated Liverpool vs Manchester United clash always carries prestige. Yet, ahead of this weekend's meeting at Anfield, data and history paint a clear picture: Liverpool are the favorites. Meanwhile, United carry the heavy burden of poor results at their rival's home ground.

According to Opta's supercomputer, Liverpool have a 73.3% chance of winning based on 10,000 match simulations. United's probability stands at just 11.2%, with the remaining 15.5% ending in draws—the outcome seen in their last two seasons.

Anfield: United's Unconquerable Fortress

Manchester United have failed to win in their last nine Premier League visits to Anfield. Their last victory there came in January 2016, courtesy of a Wayne Rooney goal during Jürgen Klopp's early reign.

Should United fail to win again, Liverpool would become only the second team in history to go unbeaten against United in 10 consecutive home league matches, after Chelsea (2002–2012).

Liverpool remain unbeaten in all five home games this season across competitions. Conversely, United's away form is dismal, having gone winless in their last eight league road trips.

Worst or Best Time to Face Liverpool?

Liverpool arrive with shaky momentum after three consecutive losses in all competitions—Arne Slot's worst streak as manager. However, all defeats occurred away.

This could be the worst time for United to face a wounded Liverpool eager to rebound at home—or paradoxically the best, given the hosts' negative trend.

The Mohamed Salah Factor and Wirtz Threat

United must be wary of Mohamed Salah. The Egyptian has haunted the Red Devils, contributing to 19 goals against them (13 goals, 6 assists).

Meanwhile, Florian Wirtz looms as a potential breakout threat for Liverpool. Though yet to score or assist in the league this season, he has registered 9 shots and created 11 chances.

Team News

Liverpool

- Alisson Becker remains unavailable

- Ryan Gravenberch could feature

- Ibrahima Konaté returned to training Friday

Manchester United

- Nearly full squad available

- Only Noussair Mazraoui and Lisandro Martínez absent

Head-to-Head Premier League (Last 14 matches)

Liverpool: 7 wins, 6 draws. United: 1 win (August 2022 at Old Trafford)

Predicted win probability: Liverpool 73.3%, draw 15.5%, United 11.2%.

Will Liverpool roar back ferociously at Anfield? Or can United script rare history and break the long-standing curse?

The answer will unfold at Anfield.