ID EN

2026 World Cup: Assessing Newcomers' Opportunities and Football Giants' Dominance

Monday, 15 December 2025 | 16:59

Author: Rojes Saragih

The world's biggest football festival is about to enter a revolutionary new chapter. The 2026 World Cup will be the largest and longest edition in history, hosted across three countries (USA, Canada, and Mexico) with 48 teams competing in 104 matches. This massive expansion fundamentally alters the competition's dynamics: now, not only the group winners and runners-up advance, but also the eight best third-placed teams will secure tickets to the Round of 32.

The big question is: will this new format pave the way for breakthroughs by smaller teams, or will it instead reinforce the strongholds of football's traditional giants?

The expansion in participants is a blessing for nations that could only dream before. The 2026 World Cup will welcome four new debutants writing history: Jordan, Uzbekistan, Cape Verde, and Curaçao. For them, merely standing on the same pitch as football giants is a monumental achievement.

A New Chapter for Debutants: Dreams Become Reality

Curaçao becomes the smallest nation ever to qualify for the World Cup. Led by Dutch legend Dick Advocaat, this Caribbean team is known as "a very hard-working team that's difficult to beat." Their challenge in Group E is immense: facing Germany (four-time champions), Ivory Coast, and Ecuador.

Cape Verde, an island nation in West Africa, will be tested in Group H by Euro 2024 champions Spain, as well as Uruguay and Saudi Arabia.

Uzbekistan received a challenging draw in Group K, where they will meet Portugal and Colombia.

Jordan will experience the highest tension of the World Cup firsthand. Placed in Group J, their first match is against Austria, followed by a duel with Algeria, and culminating in a match against defending champions Argentina. Jordan's coach, Jamal Sellami, stated this is the beginning of a new phase to showcase his country's football talent to the world.

Their presence is tangible proof of football's global democratization, though progressing far will be an immensely tough journey.

The Power Map: Classic Favorites with Unchanged Ambition

Even with the changed format, teams with champion DNA remain the frontrunners for the title. They possess experience, squad depth, and a winning mentality that's hard to match.

Argentina arrive as defending champions with a solid winning mentality. Playing on the American continent could be a psychological advantage. Lionel Scaloni will lead La Albiceleste in defending their crown.

France, the 2022 runners-up, boast the best squad depth and Kylian Mbappé as their attacking engine. Didier Deschamps aims for a third consecutive final, a historic achievement.

Spain, the Euro 2024 champions, perform with mature play and a new golden generation like Lamine Yamal. As one of the top seeds, El Reino possesses a complete package.

Brazil are always favourites thanks to their players' individual talent. Under Carlo Ancelotti, the Samba Boys hope the American atmosphere can end their title drought since 2002. A direct challenge will come from Morocco in Group C.

Germany, with their great tournament tradition, are always dangerous. They will leverage Group E, which theoretically allows them to build momentum effectively.

The Surprise Makers: In-Depth Analysis from the Observer

Dominance by big nations is no longer a guarantee. Several teams have evolved into respected forces capable of upsetting all predictions.

Japan is the prime example and receives special attention from football observer Ronny Pangemanan (Bung Ropan). According to Ropan, the main strength of the Samurai Blue lies in their extremely lethal midfield and wings.

He names players like Kaoru Mitoma (Brighton) and Ritsu Doan (Freiburg) as serious threats who can "disrupt opposing defences". Their victories over Spain and Germany in the 2022 World Cup were no fluke, but the result of offensive and technical gameplay. With dozens of players in top European leagues, Ropan assesses Japan as a serious opponent for anyone, including the Netherlands in Group F.

Morocco made history as semi-finalists in Qatar 2022. With a solid team foundation built on quality European-based players, The Atlas Lions are ready to disrupt calculations in Group C, which includes Brazil.

Ronny Pangemanan's analysis emphasizes that to face a team like Japan, opponents must play intelligently and solidly. He stated, "We can learn from Australia... They shut down Japan's central space," underlining the importance of a disciplined strategy to neutralize their main strength.

Conclusion: A Celebration of Two Sides and Future Inspiration

Ultimately, the 2026 World Cup is a celebration of two intertwined narratives. On one side, it's a festival of inclusivity and dream realization for smaller nations. On the other, the journey towards the golden trophy remains a long and arduous path, where the experience and individual quality of traditional teams are the primary assets.

The presence of teams like Japan and Morocco, coupled with in-depth analysis from experts like Ronny Pangemanan, ensures the road to the final will never be smooth. Furthermore, the phenomenon of success built on diaspora players highlights a global trend where access to talent and quality coaching is starting to level the playing field.

With more teams, more matches, and more stories, this World Cup edition promises to be the most unpredictable and epic yet, a reflection of a global football landscape increasingly competitive and full of strategy.